TRON Year 2025 Review

News Feed and Key Developments

2025 – New Era

• USDT supply on TRON reached a record high of $75.7 billion, surpassing all other networks.
• Tron Dao invested $30 million in World Liberty Financial. In returnthe Trump-backed World Liberty Financial appointed Justin Sun as an advisor to the project and bought $10 million worth of TRX coins
• TRX is integrated into the Solana network.
• With the Gas Free feature, USDT became available for fee payments.
• The number of addresses on the Tron network has passed 300 million.
• TRON is reportedly conducting pilot projects on decentralized identity (DID) systems.
• Canary Capital has filed an application with the SEC for a spot TRX ETF.
• Tron founder Justin Sun announced the completion of the integration of USD1, the stablecoin of Trump-backed World Liberty Financial, which he advises, on the Tron blockchain.
• The Tron network has become the leader among all networks with its revenue.
• TRX has entered a deflationary period with the burning operations on the coin supply.
• Tron Dao announced an agreement with Chainlink as the official oracle solution.
• USDT usage on the Tron network became possible with Mastercard

Price and ROI Performance in the Last 5 Years

TRON Technical Outlook

TRX, which started last year at 0.1076, closed the year at 0.2547, rising about 138% throughout the year. TRX, which started 2025 at 0.2547 and is currently trading at 0.2643, continues its movement within the bullish channel on the 3-day chart and is in the middle band of the channel. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) value can be expected to move up from its level with 60 and move towards the upper middle of the channel. In such a case, it is expected to test the 0.2745 resistance respectively. If it makes a 3-day close above the 0.2745 resistance, it may continue its rise and may want to test the 0.3210 resistance. If it cannot make a 3-day close above the 0.2745 resistance, it may decline with the selling pressure that may occur. In such a case, it may test 0.2110 support

Moreover, the TRX price may deepen the decline if it slips below the EMA50 level, which has been acting as a strong support for a long time. At this point, the EMA200 level may start to act as support. On the 3-day chart, as long as it stays above 0.1470 support, the bullish demand can be expected to continue. If this support is broken, selling pressure may increase.

(EMA50: Purple Line, EMA200: Blue Line)

Supports 0.2110 – 0.1470 – 0.1085

Resistances 0.2745 – 0.3210 – 0.4510

Expected Developments in TRON

1. Network Enhancements and Technological Innovations
2. USDD 2.0 Expansion (2025-2026)

• New algorithmic stablecoin structure.
• Vault, PSM (Peg Stability Module), liquidation and auction systems.
• Expansion to multiple chains (Ethereum, BNB, Solana planned).
• Aim to strengthen legal tender status in Dominica.

1. TRX Solana Integration (Started and Expanding)

• TRX is now available wrapped on the Solana network.
• In 2025, this integration is planned to extend to DeFi and NFT platforms.

1. Dissemination of TR.ENERGY Platform

• A system where TRX stakers can earn energy and use it for trading fees.
• In 2025 and beyond, secondary markets such as energy exchanges are expected to emerge.

2. Financial Products and Investment Instruments
3. TRX ETF Possibility

• Canary Capital has filed a spot TRX ETF application.
• The US-based ETF is likely to be launched in late 2025 or early 2026.
• TRX’s process of opening up to institutional investors will accelerate.

1. JustLend DAO and SunSwap Expansion

• TRON’s DeFi protocols will receive integration with other chains (e.g. Arbitrum, Base) in the period 2025-2027.
• Special pools for institutional investors coming to JustLend are on the agenda.

1. Dynamic Adjustment of Combustion Rates

• TRON DAO is considering adjusting the burn rate based on network congestion and transaction volume.
• Higher network utilization → more burn-in → lower circulating supply.

• Between 2025 and 2027, both TRX ETF plans and the use of stablecoins are set to grow, while the mechanism to burn against inflationary pressure is planned to be expanded.

3. Ecosystem and Use Area Expansion
4. New Stablecoin and Token Plans

• TRON is planning new regional stablecoin projects (for example: Euro, Latin American currencies).
• TRON-based CBDC (central bank digital currency) trials have been proposed.

1. TRON DAO Ventures

• Plan to invest in 100+ new Web3 projects between 2025-2027.
• Grants and funding will be provided in the areas of NFT, GameFi, metaverse.

1. Legal Status and Agreements with States

• Small countries such as Dominica and Saint Martin are planning to develop digital citizenship, e-government and payment systems through the TRON network.

2025 Year-End Expectations

Bull Scenario:

In 2025, a renewed bull run in the crypto asset market could lay the foundation for strong price action for TRON (TRX). The TRON network is already the leader in terms of stablecoin transfers, operating more efficiently than many Layer-1 blockchains in terms of daily transactions, active address density and USDT volume. Technically, the 0.45 level stands out as the main resistance, and if this region breaks upwards, the price may gain momentum towards the 0.60 – 0.80 range. On-chain data, the increase in transaction volume-related revenue and TVL may support this rise both structurally and technically.

An important development that could further accelerate this rise is Canary Capital’s spot TRX ETF application in early 2025. This application could be a turning point for TRON to enter the US markets at an institutional level. Following the SEC approval of Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs, resistance to altcoin ETF applications is decreasing, and in this context, TRX is now more likely to join the ranks of regulated investment products . Spot TRX ETF approval will both increase market liquidity and broaden TRX’s investor base, encouraging long-term institutional demand. If this development is priced positively by the market, the psychological resistance at 1.00 may be tested and then the price may seek new highs.

Bear Scenario:

In 2025, a recession in the US economy could put systematic pressure on all crypto assets, including TRON (TRX). In a recessionary environment, investors will exit risky assets and turn to cash or low volatility assets. In this process, TRON’s high supply structure creates a downward leverage effect on the price when liquidity is withdrawn. Technically, although the 0.20 level is an important psychological support, if this level is broken, the decline towards the 0.10 – 0.15 range may accelerate. A decrease in the transaction volume on the network, a decrease in the number of active wallets and a slowdown in stablecoin transfers may confirm these declines with on-chain data.

In addition to the recession, geopolitical tensions (e.g. China-Taiwan conflict, uncertainty in the Middle East, Ukraine-Russia war) could cause volatility in the global financial system. Moreover, tougher crypto regulations, especially US restrictions on the stablecoin market, directly threaten TRON’s core use cases. As the TRON network hosts a high percentage of USDT, targeting Tether could cause dramatic drops in the network’s transfer volume. Additionally, past legal risks to Justin Sun or criticism of TRON’s centralization could undermine investor confidence. Such situations create not only technical but also perceptual pressure on the price and delay the recovery. If it breaks below the 0.10 level, TRX may move sideways in a low-volume, low-volatility structure for a long time.

Analyst Forecast:

The bullish outlook for TRON (TRX) in 2025 has been strengthened by developments such as Canary Capital’s spot TRX ETF application. Canary Capital’s ETF application creates an opportunity to introduce TRX to a wider audience of investors. But it’s not only this filing that’s driving TRX’s rise, but also fundamental factors such as increased network utilization, the intensification of stablecoin transfers, and TRX’s DeFi integrations. The TRON network has established a strong position in the crypto ecosystem by offering technical advantages such as speed and low transaction fees. These features could attract more users and investors, paving the way for TRX’s appreciation.

Technically, the region between 0.27 – 0.30 is being watched as an important resistance zone in the price of TRX. Staying above this level could be the start of a broader upward movement. In addition, the stability and growth in the Tron network may increase liquidity and institutional interest, contributing to the price moving towards 0.50 and above in the long term. The key factors for TRX’s rise could consolidate the price action, supported by factors such as increased institutional investor interest, further expansion of network utilization, the continuation of the deflationary effect in TRX supply, and rising staking rates.

TRON’s innovative features and robust infrastructure could gain the trust of investors, allowing its value to increase across the market. Canary Capital’s ETF application may also accelerate this process, but the increase in TRX’s price will be triggered more by the increase in usage on the network and the interest of institutional investors. These factors could combine to push TRX’s price higher in the medium to long term.

Disclaimer

This content has been prepared by the Darkex Research Team for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. All risks and responsibilities arising from your investment decisions are solely your own.