Technical Analysis – August 6, 2025 – Evening
BTC/USDT
Trump Media has begun public testing of an AI-powered search feature called “Truth Search AI” on its Truth Social platform. Kevin Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, stated that President Trump’s priority is to protect the Fed’s independence and highlighted the risk of the Fed Board of Governors’ voting system appearing partisan. Trump’s remarks in the Oval Office later today will be closely watched.
Looking at the technical picture, BTC fell below the 113,000 level yesterday amid selling pressure. The price rebounded quickly after finding support in this region and returned above the 114,000 level. BTC is currently testing the minor downtrend line but has not yet broken above it.
Technical indicators are preparing for a trend reversal in the middle band of the Wave Trend oscillator. The Squeeze Momentum indicator is trying to remain in positive territory but is struggling to gain momentum. The Kaufman moving average is positioned just above the price at the 114,400 level and is acting as short-term resistance.
Looking at liquidity data, the accumulation of short-term sell positions opened at the 115,000 and 116,600 levels continues to increase, while the accumulation of sell positions above the 120,000 level in a broader time frame remains notable. Buy positions, on the other hand, have begun to re-emerge in the 111,500–112,000 range.
In summary, when we look at the fundamental developments, a relatively calmer market environment is beginning to emerge, while statements from the Trump camp continue to cause volatility. The technical outlook is indecisive in the middle band of the channel, but is trying to create a suitable ground for an uptrend. Liquidity data supports a potential upward scenario, potentially creating an environment conducive to testing the 115,000–116,000 range. On the other hand, in the event of potential selling pressure, the 113,000 level will continue to be monitored as a critical support point. Closures below this level could add depth to the downward trend.
Support levels: 114,000 – 113,200 – 112,000
Resistance levels: 115,000 – 116,000 – 116,800
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ETH/USDT
ETH moved within a critical technical zone during the day and, as expected, failed to break above the kumo cloud. Although morning buying briefly pushed the price above the $3,600 level, upward momentum weakened as the cloud resistance remained strong, and the price once again faced selling pressure. Additionally, the failure to break above the Tenkan level indicates that the market is struggling to sustain short-term upward momentum. The Ichimoku structure is sending a negative signal regarding the strength of the trend and confirming that upward movements remain technically weak.
Looking at liquidity, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator has returned to negative territory. This shift in the CMF reflects a deterioration in market depth and suggests that investors are taking a more cautious stance in the short term. There is a limited liquidity outflow, which is one of the factors complicating an upward break in the current price structure.
On the momentum side, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator provides further confirmation of the negative trend. The RSI falling below the 50 threshold level and simultaneously dipping below the base MA indicates that buying power is weakening and the price is struggling to move upward. The weakening of momentum increases the likelihood that the overall market structure will remain on the negative side in the short term.
This overall negative structure in technical indicators suggests that the Ethereum price may seek a downward equilibrium again in the coming hours. The Kijun support level at $3.545 is particularly critical. If the price retreats to this level, the reaction of buyers here will be decisive. A drop below the $3,545 level could trigger deeper selling, potentially leading to a test of the next support level at $3,480. This support level is an important threshold for the market’s short-term recovery prospects. However, if the price breaks above the 3,646 dollar level and sustains itself above this level, it could invalidate the current negative technical outlook.
Support levels: 3,480 – 3,285 – 3,081
Resistance levels: 3,646 – 3,722 – 4,084
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XRP/USDT
Although the XRP price attempted to stabilize at the Kijun level during the day, weak signals from technical indicators suggest that the price structure is becoming fragile. Low trading volumes throughout the day and weakness on the buy side are limiting the price’s upward reactions. Particularly, the price remaining below both the Tenkan level and the Kumo cloud in the Ichimoku indicator indicates that the market is failing to break the current trend and that selling pressure is continuing to strengthen technically. The Kijun level being tested multiple times during the day reflects that support is weakening and the likelihood of a downward breakout is increasing.
Another noteworthy technical factor is the deterioration in momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator remains below both the 50 threshold level and the based MA line. This weak structure in the RSI confirms that investors remain cautious about buying positions and that short-term price dynamics remain negative.
The market does not appear to be very supportive in terms of liquidity either. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator fell back to zero during the day, indicating a decline in the inflow of funds into the market and even the start of outflows. This reversal in the CMF suggests that buying interest is weakening and that selling pressure in the market is being supported. In particular, an increase in volume-driven sales could intensify pressure on prices toward current support levels.
When evaluating the overall technical structure, it appears that the XRP price is moving on fragile ground in the short term. The resistance zone at the $2.99 level retains its importance. If the price fails to reclaim this level and sustain above it, downward pressure could intensify, potentially leading to a decline toward the 2.84 dollar level. A break below the 2.84 dollar support level could trigger stronger selling pressure and increase the likelihood of the price moving toward lower regions.
Supports: 2.8471 – 2.6513 – 2.4795
Resistances: 2.9967 – 3.0927 – 3.3058
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SOL/USDT
The SOL price has been moving sideways. The asset continues to remain within the downtrend that began on July 23. At the same time, the price, which continues to remain below the 200 EMA (Black Line) and 50 EMA (Blue Line) moving averages, is currently testing the strong resistance level of $163.80. If the downtrend continues, the 150.67 dollar level should be monitored. In the event of an opposite movement, the 171.82 dollar level should be monitored as a resistance level.
On the 4-hour chart, the 50 EMA (blue line) has started to fall below the 200 EMA (black line). This indicates that the medium-term uptrend may continue. At the same time, the fact that the price is below both moving averages shows that the market is currently in a downtrend. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF-20) has moved into the negative zone. Additionally, a decrease in money inflows could push the CMF further into the negative zone. The Relative Strength Index (RSI-14) has crossed below the upward trend that began on August 2. This indicates that selling pressure may begin. If there is an upward movement due to macroeconomic data or positive news related to the Solana ecosystem, the $181.75 level emerges as a strong resistance point. If this level is broken to the upside, the upward movement is expected to continue. In case of pullbacks due to developments in the opposite direction or profit-taking, the $150.67 level could be tested. A decline to these support levels could increase buying momentum, presenting a potential opportunity for an upward movement.
Support levels: 150.67 – 144.35 – 138.73
Resistance levels: 163.80 – 171.82 – 181.75
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DOGE/USDT
The DOGE price continued its sideways movement. The asset broke above the downward trend that began on July 21 and has remained above it. The price, which is below the 50 EMA (Blue Line) and 200 EMA (Black Line) moving averages, tested the ceiling of the upward trend as support and showed a slight increase, currently testing the strong resistance level of $0.19909. If an increase occurs, the $0.21154 level can be monitored as resistance.
On the 4-hour chart, the 50 EMA (blue line) remained below the 200 EMA (black line). This indicates that the asset is in a downtrend in the medium term. The fact that the price is below both moving averages also signals that the asset is in a downtrend in the short term. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF-20) remained at a neutral level. Additionally, negative cash inflows could push the CMF into negative territory. The Relative Strength Index (RSI-14) continued to remain in the negative zone. Additionally, the indicator breaking below the upward trend that began on August 2 signals the formation of selling pressure. In the event of potential increases driven by political developments, macroeconomic data, or positive news flow within the DOGE ecosystem, the $0.22632 level emerges as a strong resistance zone. In the opposite scenario or in the event of negative news flow, the 0.17766 dollar level could be triggered. A decline to these levels could lead to increased momentum, potentially initiating a new upward wave.
Support levels: 0.18566 – 0.17766 – 0.16686
Resistance levels: 0.19909 – 0.21154 – 0.22632
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