MARKET SUMMARY
Latest Situation in Crypto Assets
| Assets | Last Price | 24h Change | Dominance | Market Cap. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 94,120.64 | -1.22% | 56.54% | 1,86 T |
| ETH | 3,318.73 | 0.07% | 12.12% | 399,36 B |
| XRP | 2.334 | 2.76% | 4.07% | 134,04 B |
| SOLANA | 193.58 | -0.03% | 2.84% | 93,57 B |
| DOGE | 0.3371 | -1.37% | 1.51% | 49,75 B |
| CARDANO | 0.9292 | -3.98% | 0.99% | 32,65 B |
| TRX | 0.2463 | -0.25% | 0.64% | 21,23 B |
| AVAX | 36.90 | -2.61% | 0.46% | 15,12 B |
| LINK | 20.10 | -2.96% | 0.39% | 12,82 B |
| SHIB | 0.00002121 | -0.92% | 0.38% | 12,49 B |
| DOT | 6.698 | -1.08% | 0.31% | 10,29 B |
*Prepared on 1.9.2025 at 07:00 (UTC)
WHAT’S LEFT BEHIND
Fed Minutes: Pace of Rate Cuts Slows
The minutes of the Federal Reserve’s December meeting revealed the view that the pace of interest rate cuts should be slowed as inflation risks remain high. Officials stated that interest rate cuts should be implemented with caution.
Silk Road Approves Sale of Seized Bitcoin
A US Court has authorized the sale of 69,370 BTC (worth $6.5 billion) seized from the Silk Road platform. This decision provides full authority for the US to manage the seized funds.
El Salvador Adds 11 More Bitcoins to Its Reserves
El Salvador has added another 11 Bitcoins to its strategic reserve, expanding its total reserve. The new purchase is worth approximately $1 million.
Ethereum Foundation Holds ETH Sale
The Ethereum Foundation sold 100 ETH for 336,000 DAI at a price of approximately $3.363 per unit. This transaction signals strategic moves by the foundation.
Thailand Launches Crypto Payment Pilot
Thailand will launch a cryptocurrency payment pilot program in Phuket in 2025, enabling payments in Bitcoin. Payments will be converted into Thai baht after the transaction.
Trump-themed NFT Series Launches on Bitcoin Network
The “Trump Bitcoin Digital Trading Cards” NFT series, endorsed by Donald Trump, was launched on the Bitcoin network over the Ordinals protocol. The collection consists of limited editions such as the “Mugshot Edition”.
Do Kwon Trial Postponed to 2026
The trial date for Terraform Labs founder Do Kwon’s case in the US has been set for January 26, 2026. Kwon could face up to 130 years in prison for the collapse of the TerraUST stablecoin.
Telegram Founder Supports Free Speech
Pavel Durov reiterated Telegram’s commitment to being an uncensored platform and emphasized that they are committed to core values, unaffected by the US election cycle.
HIGHLIGHTS OF THE DAY
Important Economic Calender Data
| Time | News | Expectation | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| All Day | Holiday – United States National Day | — | — |
| Movement (MOVE) 50MM Token Unlock | — | — | |
| 14:00 | US FOMC Member Harker Speaks | — | — |
| 17:45 | US FOMC Member Barkin Speaks | — | — |
| 18:30 | US FOMC Member Schmid Speaks | — | — |
| 18:35 | US FOMC Member Bowman Speaks | — | — |
INFORMATION:
*The calendar is based on UTC (Coordinated Universal Time) time zone. The economic calendar content on the relevant page is obtained from reliable news and data providers. The news in the economic calendar content, the date and time of the announcement of the news, possible changes in the previous, expectations and announced figures are made by the data provider institutions. Darkex cannot be held responsible for possible changes that may arise from similar situations.
MARKET COMPASS
The minutes of the December meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) released yesterday showed that almost all members were keen on slowing the pace of interest rate cuts and China’s inflation hit a nine-month low in December, which weighed on risk appetite. While yields on global bonds rose, the selling pressure increased volatility in the markets ahead of the critical US employment data to be released on Friday. Asian stock markets are generally on a downward trend. Europe is expected to start the new day with a mixed picture. US markets will be closed today due to a holiday.
Digital assets have fallen on the back of both crypto-specific news flow and a deterioration in global sentiment. Statements from FOMC members today may have an impact on asset prices, but markets seem to have accepted that the FED will cut interest rates at a slower pace. Therefore, unless there is an extraordinary statement, the evaluations to be made may have a limited impact on prices. The dynamic that will determine the direction for the short term seems to be tomorrow’s US employment data. Click here to review the evaluations we made in our weekly strategy report on the subject.
From the short term to the big picture.
The victory of former President Trump on November 5, which was one of the main pillars of our bullish expectation for the long-term outlook in digital assets, produced a result in line with our predictions. Afterwards, the appointments made by the president-elect and the increasing regulatory expectations for the crypto ecosystem in the US and the emergence of BTC as a reserve continued to take place in our equation as positive variables. Although it is expected to continue at a slower pace, the signal that the FED will continue its interest rate cut cycle and the volume in crypto-asset based ETFs pointing to an increase in institutional investor interest support our upward forecast for the big picture for now. In the short term, given the nature of the market and pricing behavior, we think it would not be surprising to see occasional pauses or pullbacks in digital assets. However, at this point, it is worth emphasizing again that the fundamental dynamics continue to be bullish.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
BTC/USDT
While selling pressure prevailed in Bitcoin, the US Court allowed the sale of 69,370 BTC seized from the Silk Road platform, creating a new wave of sales. The news came out shortly before D. Trump’s inauguration. Indeed, at the Bitcoin conference last year, Trump promised not to allow the US government to sell any Bitcoin and to list Bitcoin as a US strategic reserve asset. On the other hand, FED officials expressed the view that the rate of interest rate cuts should be slowed down due to high inflation. With the latest developments, Crypto quant data shows that the Bitcoin reserves of US-based organizations are 65% higher than those of overseas organizations. This ratio reached 1.66 at the end of 2024. The increase in the reserves of US companies once again reveals the influence of the US in the Bitcoin market.
With the latest developments, when we look at the technical outlook, we see that BTC has lost a large part of the gains it collected with the new year. Breaking the uptrend channel downwards, BTC finally lost the critical major support level of 95,000 in the rectangular pattern and retreated to 92,450. BTC, which turned its direction up again with the support it received from this region, is currently trading at 94,300. When we look at the technical oscillators, although it maintains a weak sales signal, the momentum indicator continues to be negative. If the decline deepens, 92,800 may be retested as a critical support level, and if it breaks, the 90,000 level may come back to the agenda. In order to follow a new bullish channel, it is necessary to follow the closures above the 95,000 level.
Supports 92,800 – 91,700 – 90,000
Resistances 95,000 – 97,200 – 98,000
ETH/USDT
Ethereum breached this support by dipping below the critical 3,293 level with the decline it experienced yesterday evening. However, it is pricing above the 3,320 level, showing a rapid recovery.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trying to break out of oversold territory but has yet to clearly break through this level, suggesting that buyers have not fully taken control and the market is still in search of a balance. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator continues to move sideways in the negative territory, suggesting that capital inflows remain insufficient and the impact of buyers on the market is limited. Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) data showed that demand in the spot market was higher than the futures market after yesterday’s move. This increase in spot demand may put positive pressure on the price. However, the sustainability of this situation depends on the overall market conditions.
The 3,293 level remains important as support. Closes below this level may lead to deep price declines. The needle below 3,293 and the strong spot buying appetite increase the possibility of the price recovering during the day. However, the market is still in a delicate balance. CMF needs to move into positive territory and RSI needs to signal a stronger rebound for buyers to take control. Ethereum’s short-term outlook depends on the protection of the 3,293 level. A close below this level could lead to deeper corrections.
Supports 3,293 – 3,131 – 3,033
Resistances 3,382 – 3,510 – 3,670
XRP/USDT
XRP continues to price above the 2.32 level after a highly volatile day. The general outlook for XRP, which managed to recover rapidly with strong purchases from the spot and futures market after dropping to 2.20 levels yesterday, remains positive. However, some signs in technical indicators suggest caution.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is supporting the price rally in a healthy manner and is not showing any negative divergence. However, the RSI is turning slightly down, indicating that momentum is starting to weaken. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator is still in negative territory, suggesting that capital inflows are not strong enough. This means that the dominance of buyers may be limited.
The 2.32 level stands out as a critical support and threshold for XRP. Closes above this level mean that the price can maintain its positive outlook and maintain its upward momentum. However, if the 2.32 level is lost, it is possible that a new wave of decline will begin and the price may retest the support at 2.20.
Supports 2.3236 – 2.2525 – 2.1800
Resistances 2.5702 – 2.6180 – 2.7073
SOL/USDT
FTX said Backpack does not have the authority to return funds to creditors, although the Solana exchange said it would take over creditor repayments from FTX. In Onchain data, DeFi reached a 3-year high of $9.54 billion in TVL. DEX is the leader in trading volume with 3.68 billion dollars in 24 hours.
On the 4-hour timeframe, the 50 EMA (Blue Line) has broken the 200 EMA (Black Line) to the downside. This may increase the pullback. At the time of writing, the resistance of the downtrend that started on November 23rd is working as support and the asset is currently testing this support. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF)20 indicator is in negative territory and inflows have started to decline. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI)14 indicator reached the oversold level. However, there is a positive mismatch. The 222.61 level stands out as a very strong resistance place in the rises driven by both the upcoming macroeconomic data and the news in the Solana ecosystem. If it breaks here, the rise may continue. In case of retracements for the opposite reasons or due to profit sales, the 189.54 support level can be triggered. If the price reaches these support levels, a potential bullish opportunity may arise if momentum increases.
Supports 189.54 – 181.75 – 163.80
Resistances 200.00 – 209.93 – 222.61
DOGE/USDT
Dogecoin futures assets also reached DOGE 106.95 billion, reflecting increased market interest and price appreciation. According to Santiment, the drop in social media posts and the general sentiment around Dogecoin could signal a buying opportunity for traders.
Looking at the chart, the asset has moved horizontally since our analysis yesterday, reaching the rising support that has been in place since December 20. At the same time, the asset is at the base of the symmetrical triangle pattern. On the 4-hour timeframe, the 50 EMA (Blue Line) broke the 200 EMA to the upside. This may reinforce the uptrend. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF)20 indicator is in negative territory and money outflows are increasing. However, Relative Strength Index (RSI)14 is in oversold territory. The price continues to be below both the 50 EMA and the 200 EMA. This may increase the selling pressure. The 0.42456 level is a very strong resistance point in the uptrend due to the upcoming macroeconomic data and the innovations in the DOGE coin. If DOGE catches a new momentum and rises above this level, the rise may continue strongly. In case of possible pullbacks due to macroeconomic reasons or negativity in the ecosystem, the 0.33668 level, which is the base level of the trend, is an important support. If the price reaches these support levels, a potential bullish opportunity may arise if momentum increases.
Supports 0.33668 – 0.28164 – 0.25025
Resistances 0.36600 – 0.42456 – 0.45173
LEGAL NOTICE
The investment information, comments and recommendations contained herein do not constitute investment advice. Investment advisory services are provided individually by authorized institutions taking into account the risk and return preferences of individuals. The comments and recommendations contained herein are of a general nature. These recommendations may not be suitable for your financial situation and risk and return preferences. Therefore, making an investment decision based solely on the information contained herein may not produce results in line with your expectations.
