Weekly Technical Analysis Report
BTC/USDT
Last week, diplomacy, economics, and crypto news dominated global markets simultaneously. US President Donald Trump signaled a softening in relations with Beijing, stating that the 100% additional tariffs imposed on China were “unsustainable.” In his meeting with Ukrainian leader Zelensky, Trump said, “We want to end the conflict without using missiles,” while telling India that high tariffs would continue unless it reduced its purchases of Russian oil. Meanwhile, while Trump and Putin’s agreement to hold peace talks in Budapest raised diplomatic hopes, US Vice President Vance said the two sides were not yet ready to reach an agreement. The Fed’s September Beige Book revealed that employment risks have increased, but inflation pressures remain manageable. On-chain data showed that miners transferred 51K BTC to a centralized exchange, while institutional investors, led by Strategy, continued to buy BTC.
Following all these developments, looking at the daily technical outlook, BTC reached its 13th point with a golden cross formation and carried its ATH level to 126,200. After consolidating in this region for a while, BTC failed to hold on and lost the 115,000 and then 110,000 levels, returning to the levels it had previously hit and testing the 103,300 (SMA 200) level. The price then quickly recovered and returned to the 111,000 level. BTC is set to close the week with a 3.44% decline, with its October return falling from around 10% to -2.54%.
Looking at technical indicators, the Wave Trend (WT) oscillator points to a trend reversal near the oversold zone, parallel to the sell signal it gave on a daily basis. The Squeeze Momentum indicator (SM) shows maximum weakness within the negative zone. In moving averages, the golden cross pattern continues as the 50-day SMA crosses above the 200-day SMA.
When examining weekly liquidity data, the intensity of buy-side transactions increased at the 106,200 and 104,300 levels, while sell-side transactions recorded intensity at the 112,300 and then 113,700 levels.
In summary, on the fundamental side, the renewed tariff tensions between the US and China, the continued US government shutdown, and the Russia-Ukraine crisis continue to weigh on prices, while statements from the Trump camp are determining the direction of the markets during this process.Technically, after losing critical support levels, the price retreated to previously tested levels before recovering. Additionally, liquidity data emerged as a factor deepening these pullbacks. Moving forward, holding above the 110,000 reference level is crucial for the continuation of the uptrend.Closing above this level could bring a renewed move towards the 115,000 level. In the event of a possible new selling pressure, we will continue to monitor the 110,000 level.
Supports: 110,000 – 105,000 – 103,300
Resistances: 112,200 – 115,000 – 120,500
ETH/USDT
The Ethereum price followed a balanced recovery process last week, influenced by both technical and fundamental developments. While US-driven volatility decreased on the macro front, positive news flow within the ecosystem bolstered market confidence. In particular, the Ethereum Foundation’s growing developer community and the new upgrade activated on the test network stood out as factors strengthening investors’ long-term confidence.
According to Electric Capital data, over 16,000 new developers joined the Ethereum ecosystem between January and September this year. This increase demonstrates a strong ecosystem dynamic for the network’s sustainable growth. This rise in developer numbers contributed to increased active participation, particularly in the testing processes of new upgrades.
On the technical side, the activation of the Fusaka upgrade on the Sepolia test network is considered an important step towards Ethereum’s scalability and performance goals. This upgrade aims to increase the network’s capacity to process more complex smart contracts by raising the block gas limit to 60 million. Developers are expected to measure the system’s resilience before moving to the Hoodi test network at the end of this month. This process is seen as a critical preparatory phase that could strengthen the network’s long-term efficiency.
On-chain data is also showing positive signals. The open interest level rebounding from $18 billion to stabilize around $20 billion after the sharp decline on October 10 indicates a decrease in short-term speculative pressure in the market. The Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) data showing stronger buying pressure on the spot side also supports the medium-term outlook. Furthermore, the increase in the amount of staked ETH from 3.08 million to 3.17 million reveals that long-term investor confidence has been maintained.
Technical indicators generally confirm the recovery trend. The upward movement of the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator in the positive zone shows that strong liquidity inflows are continuing and that buyers are increasing their activity in the market. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator crossed above the MA line, bringing momentum back into positive territory. This structure signals that the upward trend is on solid ground.
When analyzing the Ichimoku indicator, although the price remaining below the kumo cloud presents a cautious picture in the overall outlook, the capture of the Tenkan level and its increased upward momentum strengthens the short-term positive structure. This movement supports the market’s efforts to find a new direction in the short term.
Consequently, as long as the $3,874 key support level holds, the price is likely to rise first to $4,158 and then to the upper band of the kumo cloud at $4,389. If the $4,389 level is breached, the upward momentum is expected to strengthen significantly. However, daily closes below the $3,874 level could invalidate this scenario and bring the risk of a sharp decline back into focus.
Supports: 4,015 – 3,877 – 3,552
Resistances: 4,158 – 4,389 – 4,555
XRP/USDT
The XRP price experienced sharp fluctuations last week. In the first part of the week, the price fell to $2.19 as selling pressure intensified. However, towards the end of the week, increased buying interest led to a strong recovery, and the price rose back to $2.47. This movement indicates that the market is seeking short-term equilibrium again and that buyers are beginning to regain momentum.
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator remaining in positive territory reveals that new liquidity inflows into the market are continuing and buyers are regaining control. The strengthening of the CMF’s upward trend, particularly with the recovery in the second half of the week, supports the idea that the upward trend is progressing on a healthy footing. The steady continuation of liquidity flow is critical for the price to maintain its upward movement.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator continues its upward momentum, bringing momentum back into positive territory. The RSI approaching the 50 level signals that buyers have gained the upper hand in the short term and that the market is gaining strength. This structure confirms that the price has rebounded from weakening areas to establish a new upward base.
On the Ichimoku indicator, the price is still trading below the kumo cloud. While this outlook indicates continued weakness in the medium term, the price’s movement close to the cloud’s lower band reflects the ongoing search for direction. The retest of the Tenkan and Kijun levels stands out as a decisive threshold for the short-term outlook. The Tenkan line maintaining its upward slope indicates that buyers remain dominant in the short term.
Technically, the $2.58 level is the most important resistance for this week. If it can hold above this level, the price is likely to gain momentum towards the $2.76 level. Breaking above $2.76 could pave the way for the uptrend to regain strength. The $2.32 support level is critically important on the downside. Holding this level will be decisive for maintaining the validity of the bullish scenario.
Supports: 2.3233 – 2.1608 – 1.9077
Resistances: 2.5875 – 2.7649 – 2.9925
SOL/USDT
Last week in the Solana ecosystem:
- The Solana Foundation partnered with Korean blockchain infrastructure company Wavebridge to collaborate on creating a “compliance-ready” KRW-pegged stablecoin.
- Brera Holdings will purchase $50 million worth of SOL from the Solana Foundation. SOL Strategies and Solmate added $135 million worth of SOL to their treasury during the market crash.
- VanEck updated its Solana Staking ETF application with a 0.30% fee.
- Nansen and Sanctum launched the Solana Liquid Staking Token. nxSOL aims to enable users to earn SOL staking rewards and additional returns within Solana’s DeFi ecosystem.
- DeFi Development Corp. purchased 86,307 SOL in its latest treasury purchase.
- A16z Crypto invested $50 million in Solana’s Jito through a private token sale.
- The SEC approved the 21Shares Solana ETF Form 8-A for the Cboe BZX Exchange.
The SOL price followed a flat trajectory on the daily chart this week. The asset remained in the lower region of the upward trend that began on June 23. Testing the base level of the rising trend line and the 50 EMA (Blue Line) moving average, the price failed to break through and retreated to the 200 EMA (Black Line) moving average and the strong support level of $185.60. Currently, the asset is gaining momentum from the 200 EMA moving average and could test the $209.39 level if the uptrend continues. If a pullback begins, the $162.99 level should be monitored.
The asset is trading between the 50 EMA (Exponential Moving Average – Blue Line) and 200 EMA (Black Line) moving averages; this indicates that the asset is in a decision phase. Furthermore, the 50 EMA continuing to sit above the 200 EMA signals the continuation of a technical “golden cross” formation. This indicates that the medium-term upside potential remains intact. The RSI (14) has retreated from positive territory to the middle of negative territory. At the same time, the indicator remained below the downward trend line that began on July 22. This indicates that selling pressure continues. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF-20) remains in positive territory; however, a decrease in money inflows could push the CMF-20 indicator into negative territory. If macroeconomic data remains positive and developments in the ecosystem continue to be favorable, the first major resistance level of $209.39 could be retested. Conversely, in the event of potential negative news flow or deterioration in macro data, the $162.99 level could be monitored as a potential buying opportunity.
Supports: 185.60 – 162.99 – 150.23
Resistances: 209.39 – 228.35 – 241.14
DOGE/USDT
House of Doge, the commercial arm of the Dogecoin Foundation, began trading on Nasdaq following its merger with Brag House Holdings (TBH).
On the daily chart, DOGE has been trading sideways since last week. The price tested the strong support level of $0.18224 for the second time and gained upward momentum from there. Currently continuing its upward trend, the asset is preparing to test the 200 EMA (Black Line) and the $0.22234 level as resistance. In the event of a pullback, the $0.15045 level could be monitored.
The asset began trading below the 50 EMA (Blue Line) and 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average – Black Line) moving averages. This indicates that the asset is trending downward. On the other hand, the 50 EMA continues to remain above the 200 EMA, indicating that the “golden cross” formation is continuing. This also signals that upward pressure may continue in the medium term. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF–20) indicator remained in positive territory. Money inflows, however, continue to decline. This could push the CMF-20 back into negative territory. Looking at the Relative Strength Index (RSI-14) indicator, it has risen from the depths of the negative zone to the mid-level of the negative zone. At the same time, it continues to remain below the downward trend that has been ongoing since September 13. This indicates that selling pressure is building. In the event of macroeconomic risks or negative news from the ecosystem, the $0.15045 level can be monitored as a strong support. On the other hand, if the upward movement gains strength, the $0.22234 level comes to the fore as the first strong resistance level.
Supports: 0.18224 – 0.17085 – 0.16131
Resistances: 0.20472 – 0.22234 – 0.25025
TRX/USDT
Last week, the TRON network generated a total of $54 million in revenue, continuing to be the highest-earning ecosystem among all blockchain networks. This sustained positive momentum in network revenues is positively impacting TRON’s market share and weight within the ecosystem.
During the week of October 13–19, 2025, a total of 29 million TRX were burned on the TRON network. This reduced the circulating supply by 1.6 million. The decrease in circulating supply creates deflationary pressure on TRX. Additionally, the total number of addresses increased by 1.5 million to 339.8 million during the same week.
Technically speaking, TRX started last week at 0.3227 and closed the week at 0.3204, falling approximately 1% over the course of the week. Thus, TRON, which ended its second consecutive week with a decline, has a market value of $30.3 billion. Currently trading at 0.3211, TRX is just above the lower band of the bearish channel on the daily chart and is hovering near the 0.3190 support level. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) value is observed to be in the sell zone at 44. Considering its position within the bearish channel and the RSI indicator, the TRX price may rise slightly. This indicates that it may want to move towards the middle band of the channel. In such a case, it may test the 0.3355 resistance. If it closes above the 0.3355 resistance level on a daily basis, it may test the 0.3455 resistance level. If it fails to close above the 0.3355 resistance level on a daily basis and selling pressure increases in the market, it may decline due to potential selling from this area. In such a case, it may test the 0.3190 support level. The 0.2875 level is being monitored as a critical support point on the daily chart. Staying above this level could maintain the upward trend, while closes below it could lead to increased selling pressure and deeper downward price movements.
Supports: 0.3190 – 0.3000 – 0.2875
Resistances: 0.3355 – 0.3455 – 0.3600
AVAX/USDT
Starting last week at $22.50, AVAX closed the week at around $20.60, losing approximately 8.5% of its value. Following the sharp decline in the cryptocurrency market the previous week, the negative sentiment in the markets continued last week ( ). Under the influence of a low-volume and weak market outlook, renewed selling pressure emerged in cryptocurrencies. While there were no significant developments on the fundamental side in the AVAX ecosystem, trading volumes declined as investor interest waned. This negative sentiment across the market limited AVAX’s recovery efforts.
On the daily chart, the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) line continues to trade in negative territory below the signal line. The continued downward movement of the MACD line indicates that momentum remains weak and selling pressure persists. AVAX’s recovery remains limited as there is insufficient buying power during upward attempts. Technically, AVAX trading below critical Exponential Moving Average (EMA) levels also supports the negative outlook and increases downside risks in the short term.
From a technical perspective, the $21.02 level is the first strong resistance for AVAX’s upward movement. Unless it can stay above this level, gains may remain limited. If the $21.02 resistance level is broken, AVAX’s upward momentum could accelerate, testing the $23.16 and $26.02 resistance levels in succession. Conversely, if the $21.02 level cannot be broken, the $18.50 level is the first support level for AVAX’s decline. If there are closes below this level, selling pressure may deepen and it may retreat to the $15.61 and $11.88 levels. In the overall outlook, when the MACD and EMA indicators are evaluated together, the short-term technical picture for AVAX remains negative. As long as the $21.02 resistance is not broken, the price is likely to remain under pressure. However, if there is an increase in trading volume and a recovery in buying appetite, a gradual recovery process may begin in AVAX with closes above $21.02.
(EMA50: Green Line, EMA100: Blue Line, EMA200: Purple Line)
Supports: 18.50 – 15.61 – 11.88
Resistances: 21.02 – 23.16 – 26.02
SHIB/USDT
This week, the focus of the SHIB ecosystem was on the controlled reopening of the bridge infrastructure and the strengthening of the security-compliance layer. While reactivating the Plasma Bridge for BONE, the Shibarium team implemented the blacklist mechanism and a 7-day finalization delay for withdrawals as a permanent security policy; operational procedures were updated with the audit processes announced after the previous exploit. Technical notes and announcements published during the week emphasized that the bridge relaunch was designed with a liquidity cost perspective in favor of security, meaning integrity and oversight were prioritized over accessibility. The team reported that a phased repayment plan for bridge victims was being worked on and that policy details would be shared step by step.
On the on-chain side, the reported 449% weekly increase in SHIB burn activity supports the narrative of tightening on the supply side, while daily flows confirmed that the BONE bridge is effectively operational, the 7-day delay is visible in user interfaces, and rules for blocking suspicious addresses are in effect.
The technical outlook is forming on a backdrop where the reaction following the sharp sell-off is weakening. The price continues to remain below the week’s Point of Control (POC) value of $0.00001070; although there was an attempt towards the $0.00001100 level last week due to positive divergence from OBV, it was met with selling and the $0.00001020 support level was broken down. Decreases in momentum, volume, and volatility indicate that upward attempts lack carrying power. Although the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) remains in positive territory, its position below the POC suggests that inflows are having a limited impact on pricing.
Below, the $0.00000960 level is the first intermediate defense; below that, the $0.00000910 level and the $0.00000835 level are monitored as a wide-band support zone. In upward attempts, a close above last week’s POC at the $0.00001070 level is required, followed by settling above the EMA 50 ($0.00001173 level) and retaking intermediate resistances with volume. Following these steps, the EMA 200 (USD 0.00001319–0.00001340 level) and the USD 0.00001390 level remain on the agenda as incremental resistances. In summary, Without confirmation of sustainability above the POC and EMA 50, upward attempts are corrective in nature; otherwise, the risk of a decline below the $0.00001020 level deepening towards the $0.00000960, $0.00000910, and $0.00000835 levels increases. (EMA200: Black line, EMA50: Blue line)
Supports: 0.00000960 – 0.00000910 – 0.00000835
Resistances 0.00001170 – 0.00001275 – 0.00001390
LTC/USDT
Litecoin (LTC) ended last week with a 5.71% decline and started the new week at $93.33. During the same period, LTC lost 0.23% against Bitcoin, and its market value fell to approximately $7.24 billion, maintaining its 20th place in the market cap ranking. On the futures side, open positions decreased due to both liquidations and position closures following the price decline. This led to a 60% decline in the total open interest compared to last week. Funding rates, however, continue to be positive.
Litecoin is currently trading below all major moving averages and is showing a negative technical outlook due to losing its rising trend support. However, a recovery appears to have started in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator. When examining recoveries following previous declines on LTC, the RSI value typically bottomed out between 25 and 30 levels, followed by an upward price movement. The current RSI situation also appears consistent with this pattern, meaning the price has the potential to move upward as the RSI bottoms out between 25 and 30. In this scenario, the lower band of the rising channel at the $102.57 level stands out as the first resistance point in potential upward movements. On the other hand, the 200-period moving average (purple line) at the $99.49 level could turn upward before the end of the week and provide support to the lower channel band if the price does not experience a significant decline. This average is expected to be subject to an upward update due to the daily prices that will be added this week. If the price manages to stay above this line, a move towards the $106.25 level may come into play. While the $106.25 level is initially a horizontal resistance, if the price stays above this level, it is likely to act as a strong support area again from a technical perspective. On the other hand, the 100-period moving average (yellow line) at the $111.60 level and the 50-period moving average (orange line) placed close to it form the last possible sell zone for this week.
In the event of continued pullbacks, the $93.22 level emerges as Litecoin’s first strong support. This level is the first line of defense where short-term buyers could re-enter, as it is an area where the price has rebounded several times in previous phases. In the event of a crisis below this level, the horizontal support at $87.27 can be monitored as the second important area that could limit the decline. In the event of a deeper pullback, the $81.19 level emerges as a critical threshold. This level is a critical threshold that could offer a bottom buying opportunity, as it is where many medium-term bottoms have accumulated in the past and where weekly moving averages should bring buyers back into play.
Supports: 93.22 – 87.27 – 81.19
Resistances: 98.17 – 106.25 – 111.60
BNB/USDT
Significant developments last week led to serious losses in the markets, with over $19 billion in positions liquidated during this period. During this decline, BNB fell by approximately 33% to $860. However, the BNB ecosystem continued its upward trend, supported by strong fundamentals, and managed to maintain its current upward trajectory.
Furthermore, this week, the ENSO, YB, and ZBT projects in the BNB ecosystem were listed on Binance Launchpool. These listings are expected to increase demand for BNB, which is used for transaction fees, and reduce the circulating supply through users staking BNB. This situation is expected to have a generally positive impact on the BNB price.
From a technical perspective, the correction movement that started from the All Time High (ATH) level of $1,350 ended at the $1,000 level, which is the uptrend zone. With strong support from this zone, the BNB/USDT pair continued its rise and reached the $1,150 level again.
Technical indicators for BNB/USDT, currently trading in the $1,100–$1,150 range, show that the recent increase in trading volume has supported buying. This pattern indicates that the positive outlook in the market is gaining strength. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) fell below the 50 level following recent pullbacks but found support at these levels and resumed its upward trajectory. This technical structure indicates that positive momentum in BNB is strengthening.
Within the current outlook, if buying appetite is maintained, BNB is expected to test the $1,150 resistance level in the first stage. If this level is broken, the price may move towards the $1,200 and $1,250 levels, respectively. On the other hand, if selling pressure increases, the price may retreat back to the $1,100 support level. If this level is broken downward, the $1,050 and $1,000 levels emerge as critical areas to monitor.
Supports: 1,100 – 1,050 – 1,000
Resistances: 1,150 – 1,200 – 1,250
LINK/USDT
According to Yahoo Finance data, over 270,000 LINK were withdrawn from a single exchange in the last 24 hours. This amount is equivalent to approximately $5 million at the current price. This movement following the 30% price drop in October and the positive price reaction show that LINK investors still have a strong tendency to accumulate.
Technically speaking, the positive divergence that formed on October 13 is noteworthy. The daily closing price at around $18 could trigger this divergence, pushing the price first to $20.19 and then up to the $21 range, which is both a horizontal resistance level and our 100-day moving average. To speak of a full recovery, we need to see the large bearish candle formed on October 10 filled upward and a close above this level. Should this occur, it should also be noted that a breakout from the downtrend will take place. Therefore, our main resistance level will be the $22 region.
Sales at current levels or at the $20 level could pull the price down to $17.63 levels first, and we can consider this pullback normal. This level is quite strong, both because it is a horizontal support area and because it is our 200-day moving average. However, a loss of this level could reduce risk appetite and confidence in the market, increasing downward pressure. Subsequently, it could lead to a search for a new low below $15.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is hovering around 45, in negative territory. Along with the divergence we mentioned, it is critical for this level to break above 50 and move into positive territory. If price and RSI move together, risk appetite and market confidence could turn positive, and momentum could accelerate upward.
Supports: 17.63 – 16.52 – 15.70
Resistances: 20.19 – 21.15 – 22.77
SUI/USDT
This week, major crashes and noteworthy developments continue across the entire crypto world, including the Sui (SUI) ecosystem. Despite general market volatility, the Sui network is succeeding in attracting attention with its innovative steps. The latest article published for the Sui network stated that important technological and financial innovations in the ecosystem were discussed. Specifically, the new stablecoin USDi, which will be launched on Sui, is planned to hit the market in the fourth quarter of this year. This stablecoin aims to provide greater stability and security for on-chain transactions.
In addition, the Sui team is actively developing the infrastructure. It is stated that new updates are being worked on to improve network performance, reduce transaction costs, and provide developers with broader tool support. The new stablecoin and infrastructure developments are expected to increase the overall usage rate and liquidity of the Sui network. According to experts, this situation could give the Sui ecosystem long-term momentum in terms of both DeFi projects and user experience.
Looking at the overall picture, it appears that Sui continues to take growth-oriented steps despite the market uncertainties experienced during this period. This reinforces positive expectations for the project’s future.
Looking at Sui’s technical outlook following the recent disruptive developments, we see that the price has been moving sideways at around $2.56 on a weekly basis, influenced by fundamental developments. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently in the range of 38.14 – 36.97. This range indicates that the market is trading close to the sell zone; however, if the RSI weakens and falls to the 35.00 – 40.00 range, it could signal a potential buying point. If the price moves upward, the resistance levels of $2.97, $3.48, and $3.78 can be monitored. However, if the price retreats to new lows, it could indicate that selling pressure is intensifying. In this case, the support levels of $2.35, $2.07, and $1.94 come to the fore. Based on the trend line, a pullback to $1.81 appears technically possible. According to Simple Moving Averages (SMA) data, Sui’s average price is currently at $2.65. If the price remains below this level, it could signal that the current uptrend may not continue technically.
Supports: 1.81 – 2.07 – 2.35
Resistances: 2.97 – 3.48 – 3.78
ADA/USDT
ADA has fallen by 7% since last week, dropping to $0.6708. According to ADA on-chain data, the Market Value/Realized Value (MVRV) ratio indicates that Cardano is currently in the opportunity zone. This indicator, which ranges from -9% to -19%, reflects that ADA holders are experiencing unrealized losses. Historically, this range typically signals the bottom point where selling slows down and accumulation begins. Whales balanced the accumulation on the buy side by selling 180 million ADA worth over $120 million in the last 24 hours. The ADA price tested last week’s first support level by falling to $0.6203. If the price closes above the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA 20 – Red Line) and (EMA 50 – Blue Line), the uptrend could regain the necessary momentum. If there is a confirmed close above $0.8520, the first target could be $0.9910, and if momentum continues , the $1.1077 level could be our first resistance level in the wide band range. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) continues to move near the sell zone, falling to 40 levels, while the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF-20) indicates potential for a sell-off by falling to 0.11 levels. The decrease in money inflows may keep the CMF in negative territory, and the uncertainty between the two indicators could signal a sell-off effect. Depending on the macroeconomic data to be announced this week or positive news regarding the Cardano ecosystem, the $0.8000 level may emerge as our strong resistance point. If the decline begins, the 0.6203 level will be the important support level we will follow.
Supports: 0.6203 – 0.5041 – 0.4279
Resistances: 1.1077 – 0.9910 – 0.8905
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