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Home Analysis Weekly BTC Onchain Analysis

Weekly Bitcoin Onchain Report – April 02

darkex by darkex
April 2, 2025
in Weekly BTC Onchain Analysis
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TABLE OF CONTENT hide
1 Active Addresses
1.1 Active Sending Addresses
1.2 Active Receiving Addresses
2 Breakdowns
2.1 MRVR
3 Realized Price
3.1 Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR)
4 Derivatives
5 Open Interest
5.1 Funding Rate
5.2 Long & Short Liquidations
6 Supply Distribution
7 Supply Distribution
8 Exchange Reserve
9 Exchange Activity and BTC Price
10 Fees and Revenues
11 Bitcoin: Fees (Total)
12 Miner Flows
13 Miner Activity
14 Transaction
15 Whale Activities
16 Weekly On-Chain Metric Overview
17 Legal Notice

Active Addresses

Bitcoin-Active-Addresses

In terms of active addresses, there were 1,093,362 active entries on the BTC network this week between March 26 and April 2, 2025. During this period, Bitcoin rose from $82,000 to $85,000. In the region marked on the chart, where the price and the number of active addresses intersect, we see that Bitcoin purchases have changed direction. When we follow the 7-day simple moving average, it is observed that the price followed an upward trend on the dates when this average also crossed the price. This situation indicates that the Bitcoin price is experiencing entries at $82,000 levels.

 

Active Sending Addresses

Bitcoin-Active-Sending-Addresses

 

 

With the Black Line (price line) in active shipping addresses, there has been a significant drop in active shipping addresses after March 30. On the day when the price hit its lowest point, active sending addresses rose as high as 729,636 , indicating that buyers sold their positions as Bitcoin stayed at $83,843 for a while. As a result, price drops seem to cause an acceleration in sending addresses. .

 

 

 

 

 

Active Receiving Addresses

Bitcoin-Active-Receiving-Addresses

 

 

With the Black Line (price line) in active shipping addresses, there has been a significant drop in active shipping addresses after March 31. On the day of the price low, active shipping addresses rose as high as 413,118   , indicating that buyers took their positions at Bitcoin’s $82,000 level.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Breakdowns

MRVR

Bitcoin-MVRV-Ratio

 

 

On March 26, the Bitcoin price was 86,975 and the MVRV Ratio was 1.99. As of April 1, the Bitcoin price was down to 85,162, while the MVRV Ratio was 1.94. Compared to last week, Bitcoin price decreased by 2.08% and MVRV Ratio decreased by 2.51%.

 

 

 Realized Price

Bitcoin-Realized-Price

 

On March 26, the Bitcoin price was 86,975 while the Realized Price was 43,697. As of April 1, the Bitcoin price was down to 85,162 while the Realized Price was 43,731. Compared to last week, the Bitcoin price decreased by 2.08% while the Realized Price increased by 0.078%.

 

 

       

Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR)

Bitcoin-Spent-Output-Profit-Ratio-(SOPR)

 

 

On March 26, the Bitcoin price was 86,975, while the SOPR metric was 1.005. As of April 1, the Bitcoin price has fallen to 85,162 while the SOPR metric has decreased to 0.998. Compared to last week, Bitcoin price decreased by 2.08% while the SOPR metric decreased by 0.70%.

 

 

Derivatives

Open Interest

BTC-OI

Between March 26 and March 28, open interest was on an upward trend and the price also showed a slight increase during this period. However, by March 28, open interest also declined sharply as the price fell sharply. This movement suggests that a large amount of long positions were liquidated or traders exited the market. During the period from March 30 to March 31, the price remained flat while open interest remained at low levels. During this period, leveraged trades in the market decreased and investors were cautious about opening new positions. As of April 1st, both price and open interest experienced a rapid recovery. As the price started to rise, the OI also increased significantly. This indicates that new long positions were entering the market and investors started to take risks again. However, on April 2, the OI declined again, suggesting that the rally may have been short-lived and that investors may have engaged in profit realization. In order to determine the direction of the price, it is important to keep a close eye on whether the recovery in open interest will continue. In particular, if open interest continues to rise while the price continues to rise, it may confirm that a sustainable uptrend is in place. Otherwise, a new wave of declines may occur with the re-liquidation of leveraged long positions.

Funding Rate

BTC-Funding-Rate

Between March 26 and 28, the funding rate was positive, and the price rose, indicating that investors preferred long positions. However, on March 29 – 30, the funding rate fell sharply and the price declined. This suggests that long positions were closed and short trades increased. On March 31, the funding rate started to rise again and reached its highest level on April 1. At the same time, the price also rose, indicating that long positions were re-entering the market. On April 2, the funding rate dropped slightly, but it is still in positive territory. Overall, the funding rate remains in positive territory, indicating that investors continue to expect bullish sentiment. However, if it rises to extremely high levels, it may indicate that the market has become overleveraged, and the risk of a possible correction has increased.

 

Long & Short Liquidations

BTC, which had a very volatile week, managed to exceed the $85,000 level by recovering rapidly after falling to $81,300. With this activity, approximately 765.87 million dollars of long and 455 million dollars of short positions were liquidated.

Date Long Amount (Million $) Short Amount (Million $)
March 26 408.25 14.10
March 27 19.91 258.58
March 28 183.81 12.69
March 29 53.36 37.29
March 30 34.50 17.54
March 31 35.57 64.05
April 01 30.47 51.41
Total 765.87 455.66

 Supply Distribution

Bitcoin-Total-Supply

Total Supply: It reached 19,845,158 units, up about 0.016% from last week.

New Supply: The amount of BTC produced this week was 3,172.

Velocity: Velocity, which was 13.39 last week, was 13.27 as of April 1.

Supply Distribution

Wallet Category 25.03.2025 01.04.2025 Change (%)
< 1 BTC 8.5450% 8.5415% -0.041%
1 – 10 BTC 11.76% 11.751% -0.076%
10 – 100 BTC 24.757% 24.842% 0.343%
100 – 1k BTC 28.162% 28.094% -0.241%
1k – 10k BTC 18.411% 18.506% 0.516%
10k+ BTC 8.360% 8.263% -1.160%

In the wallet distribution of the current supply, a small decrease of 0.041% was observed in the < 1 BTC category, while holders of 1 – 10 BTC experienced a slight decrease of 0.076%. The 10 – 100 BTC range increased by 0.343%, while the 100 – 1K BTC segment decreased by 0.241%. 1K – 10K BTC holders saw a significant increase of 0.516%, while the most significant change was in the 10K+ BTC category with a notable increase of 1.160%.

Exchange Reserve

Bitcoin-Exchange-Reserve-All-Exchanges

Between March 26 and April 1, 2025, Bitcoin reserves on exchanges increased from 2,426,338 BTC to 2,438,750 BTC. During this period, there were net inflows totaling 12,412 BTC and exchanges’ Bitcoin reserves increased by 0.51%. The Bitcoin price declined by approximately 2.1% during this period. Bitcoin closed at $86,975 on March 26, 2025 and closed at $85,163 on April 1, 2025. Net inflows to exchanges could increase selling pressure and weaken the upside momentum on the price. (Decline)

Exchange Activity and BTC Price

Date Exchange Inflow Exchange Outflow Exchange Netflow Exchange Reserve BTC Price ($)
March 26 32,764 32,557 208 2,426,338 86,975
March 27 30,320 31,367 -1,047 2,425,291 87,270
March 28 49,364 55,051 -5,688 2,419,603 84,375
March 29 25,708 24,385 1,323 2,420,926 82,638
March 30 18,216 14,541 3,676 2,424,602 82,383
March 31 44,683 29,342 15,340 2,439,942 82,535
April 01 31,665 32,857 -1,192 2,438,750 85,163

 Fees and Revenues

BTC-Fees-(Mean)

Analysing the Bitcoin Fees per Transaction (Mean) data between March 26 and April 1, it was observed that this value was at 0.00001894 on March 26, the first day of the week. Bitcoin Fees per Transaction (Mean) value, which has been on a downward trend since then, decreased in parallel with the decline in Bitcoin price and reached the lowest value of the weekly period at 0.00001032 on March 30.

Showing an upward trend in the following days, the value closed at 0.00001222 on April 1, the last day of the weekly period.

Bitcoin: Fees (Total)

BTC-Fees-(Total)

Similarly, an analysis of Bitcoin Fees (Total) data between March 26 and April 1 shows that this value was 9.66202233 on March 26, the first day of the week. Bitcoin Fees (Total), which has been on a downward trend since then, decreased in parallel with the decline in Bitcoin price and reached 3.14843402 on March 30, recording the lowest level of the weekly period.

Showing an upward trend in the following days, the value closed at 4.35392095 on April 1, the last day of the weekly period.

Miner Flows

Bitcoin-Miner-Reserve

As can be seen in the Miner Reserve table, the number of Bitcoins in miners’ wallets decreased this week. Although there was a positive correlation between Miner Reserve and Bitcoin price at the beginning of this week, the correlation turned negative by the end of the week.

Miner Inflow, Outflow and Netflow

Between March 26 and April 1, 46,223 Bitcoins exited miners’ wallets and 45,122 Bitcoins entered miners’ wallets between the same dates. The Miner Netflow for this week was -1,101 Bitcoin. Meanwhile, the Bitcoin price was $86,975 on March 26 and $85,162 on April 1.

For the week, the net flow (Miner Netflow) was negative as Bitcoin inflow into miner wallets (Miner Inflow) was less than Bitcoin outflow from miner wallets (Miner Outflow).

Miner Activity

Date Miner Inflow Miner Outflow Miner Netflow
March 26 7,895.5 8,115.3 -219.8
March 27 5,081.6 5,208.6 -127.0
March 28 12,391.3 12,736.8 -345.5
March 29 2,839.6 3,046.3 -206.7
March 30 2,547.6 2,559.2 -11.5
March 31 6,691.5 6,755.9 -64.5
April 01 7,674.8 7,801.2 -126.4

 Transaction

Bitcoin-Transaction-Count-(Total)

Last week, there were 3,056,902 transactions on the Bitcoin network, down 14.48% to 2,614,305 transactions this week. The 510,060 transactions recorded on March 26 were the highest volume of the week, while the lowest number of transactions was 289,998 on March 29.

In addition to the decrease in the number of transactions compared to last week, it seems to have continued to decrease during the week. Although the price-transaction number collinearity has been achieved in general terms, we can say that there seems to be a weaker network image compared to last week.

Tokens Transferred

While 3,459,848 BTC was transferred last week, it increased by 14.25% to 3,952,792 BTC this week. March 31 saw the highest token volume of the week with 710,136 BTC transfers, while March 30 saw the lowest token transfer volume with 399,231 BTC. It can be said that the role of high capital holders this week is more than the previous week, meaning that large investors are starting to move again. When we examine the relationship between the price and the amount of tokens transferred on a daily basis during the week, it is seen that the positive and negative correlations are almost equal, that is, the transfer amounts have had a balanced effect, sometimes negatively and sometimes positively. In this case, it is possible to say that the direction of the market has not yet been determined, and there are differences of position among major investors regarding the price prediction for the rise or fall.

 Whale Activities

Bitcoin-Whale-Ratio

Whales Data

According to the data that attracted attention in the cryptocurrency market in the last 7 days, the whale activities on the central exchange showed us that it used the central exchanges a lot at the beginning of the process. Towards the end of the process, these activities continued unabated. When we look at the Exchange Whale Ratio metric, it showed that whales used central exchanges very much at the beginning of the 7-day process and the value was measured as 0.630. When this ratio is above 0.350, it usually means that whales use central exchanges frequently. This measurement decreased in the middle of the process, reaching a low of 0.377 on March 29, indicating that whales started to use the central exchange much less than at the beginning of the process. At the time of writing, the value is 0.455, indicating that whales are using the central exchange slightly more than in the middle of the process. During this period, the day when whales used the central exchange the most was March 31st. On this date, the ratio increased to 0.646. This movement caused the Bitcoin price to rise from around $81,000 to around $85,000. It is possible to say that this price increase indicates that whales are using centralized exchanges to accumulate BTC. At the same time, total BTC transfers increased by about 15% compared to last week, with 3,952,792 BTC moving. In parallel, there is an increase in the number of addresses holding 1000 to 10,000 BTC. By the end of March, the number of these wallets reached 1,993, marking the highest level since December 2024. In conclusion, the whales’ increased use of centralized exchanges, the upward trend in the amount of transfers and the upward trend in BTC show that whales are accumulating. We can say that the market is in an upward signal.

BTC Onchain Overall

Weekly On-Chain Metric Overview

Metric Rise 📈 Decline 📉 Neutral ➖
Active Addresses ✓
Breakdowns ✓
Derivatives ✓
Supply Distribution ✓
Exchange Reserve ✓
Fees and Revenues ✓
Miner Flows ✓
Transaction ✓
Whale Activities ✓

*The metrics and guidance in the table do not, by themselves, describe or imply an expectation of future price changes for any asset. The prices of digital assets may vary depending on many different variables. The onchain analysis and related guidance is intended to assist investors in their decision-making process, and making financial investments based solely on the results of this analysis may result in harmful transactions. Even if all metrics produce a bullish, bearish or neutral result at the same time, the expected results may not be seen depending on market conditions. Investors who review the report should take these warnings into account.

Legal Notice

The investment information, comments and recommendations contained in this document do not constitute investment advisory services. Investment advisory services are provided by authorized institutions on a personal basis, taking into account the risk and return preferences of individuals. The comments and recommendations contained in this document are of a general type. These recommendations may not be suitable for your financial situation and risk and return preferences. Therefore, making an investment decision based solely on the information contained in this document may not result in results that are in line with your expectations.

 

NOTE: All data used in Bitcoin onchain analysis is based on Cryptoqaunt.

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