BRÚJULA DE MERCADO
After the US markets were closed on the first business day of the week due to a holiday, global markets have been relatively positive on the new day. In Asia-Pacific, the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) rate cut after four years and Chinese leader Xi’s meeting with private sector companies (as well as the ongoing excitement over DeepSeek’s artificial intelligence capabilities) are seen positively. In Europe, defense stocks were bought after the extraordinary European Union (EU) security summit in Paris. Wall Street spot markets will start trading today and futures contracts are pointing to a slightly positive opening. Today, US and Russian officials are expected to meet in Saudi Arabia. It is stated that Ukraine peace will also be on the table.
In addition to this picture, the reflections of the rising dollar index, which stopped its recent losses with the statements from the US Federal Reserve (FED) officials, are being monitored. Christopher Waller, one of the FED governors, suggested a pause in interest rate cuts if inflation does not behave similarly to 2024. FED President Michelle Bowman also called for patience, suggesting that the FED should wait for more evidence that inflation is on track to reach the 2% target, while Philadelphia FED President Patrick Harker advocated keeping interest rates stable in a strong economy. The dollar index rose to around 107, halting a three-day decline. Despite the relatively positive sentiment in traditional markets, digital assets remained under pressure due to the appreciation in the dollar and expectations regarding the Fed’s rate cut path. We maintain our expectation of flat to volatile in the short term, slightly pressured in the medium term and bullish in the long term.
Desde el corto plazo hasta el panorama general.
Trump’s victory on Noviembre 5, one of the main pillars of our bullish expectation for the long-term outlook in digital assets, produced a result in line with our predictions. In the process that followed, the appointments made by the president-elect and the increasing regulatory expectations for the crypto ecosystem in the US, as well as the emergence of BTC as a reserve, continued to take place in our equation as positive variables. Then, 4 days after the new President took over the White House, he signed the “Cryptocurrency Working Unit” decree, which was among his election promises, and we think that the positive reflection of the outputs it will produce in the coming days on digital assets may continue.
On the other hand, the expectations that the FED will continue its interest rate cut cycle, albeit on hiatus for now, and the fact that the volume in crypto-asset ETFs indicates an increase in institutional investor interest, support our upside forecast for the big picture. In the short term, given the nature of the market and pricing behavior, we think it would not be surprising to see occasional pause or pullbacks in digital assets. However, at this point, it is worth underlining again that we think the fundamental dynamics continue to be bullish.
LO MÁS DESTACADO DEL DÍA
Datos importantes del calendario económico
| Tiempo | Noticias | Expectativa | Anterior |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flare (FLR) BERA Price Feed Integration | |||
| QuantixAI (QAI) 565.69K Token Unlock | |||
| Oasis (ROSE) 56M Token Unlock | |||
| 13:30 | US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Feb) | -1.9 | 12.60 |
| 15:20 | FOMC Member Daly Speaks | ||
| 18:00 | Discurso de Barr, miembro del FOMC |
INFORMACIÓN
*El calendario se basa en el huso horario UTC (Tiempo Universal Coordinado).
El contenido del calendario económico de la página correspondiente se obtiene de proveedores de noticias y datos fiables. Las noticias del contenido del calendario económico, la fecha y hora del anuncio de la noticia, los posibles cambios en las cifras anteriores, las expectativas y las cifras anunciadas son realizadas por las instituciones proveedoras de datos. Darkex no se hace responsable de los posibles cambios que puedan surgir de situaciones similares.
AVISO LEGAL
La información sobre inversiones, los comentarios y las recomendaciones que figuran en este documento no constituyen asesoramiento en materia de inversiones. Los servicios de asesoramiento en materia de inversión son prestados individualmente por instituciones autorizadas teniendo en cuenta las preferencias de riesgo y rentabilidad de los particulares. Los comentarios y recomendaciones aquí contenidos son de carácter general. Estas recomendaciones pueden no ser adecuadas para su situación financiera y sus preferencias de riesgo y rentabilidad. Por lo tanto, tomar una decisión de inversión basándose únicamente en la información aquí contenida puede no producir resultados acordes con sus expectativas.
