MARKET COMPASS
Macro Indicators, Tariffs and Balance Sheets
- While the weekend ended without any new information on tariffs, President Trump’s hints that there would be no new delay for China caused the positive sentiment of the last few days to be somewhat dampened.
- Global markets do not seem to believe that the trade war between the US and China will be resolved within weeks, as US officials have signaled, and it may take months to resolve the issue. Nevertheless, when we evaluate the pricing in the bond and Forex markets, we see that the risk-off behavior is not widespread.
- This week, the balance sheets of major US companies, especially technology companies, and macroeconomic indicators will be under the scrutiny of investors.
- As we start the week, in the Far East, there are rumors that China will not be quick to announce new measures to further support its economy, while in Europe, there is a balance sheet-centered hope, while we observe a cautious stance according to Wall Street futures.
- Digital assets tend to hold on to their recent gains amid expectations that strong institutional demand may return and rumors of new news on the US strategic crypto reserve. The continued acceptance of new ETF applications on major cryptocurrencies also has a positive impact on the overall perception of the ecosystem.
- No significant news flow is expected for the rest of the day, but we think that investors may tend to act cautiously ahead of the US critical macro indicators to be announced later in the week. In this parallel, it would not be a surprise to see a band movement, preserving the recent gains, especially BTC. In particular, we think that US GDP (economic growth) data on Giovedì and employment data on Venerdì will be critical.
Digital Compass
In the US, the locomotive of the world economy, we consider it a very important development that a strategic crypto reserve is on the agenda, which started with Trump’s nomination process. However, the fact that the markets had already priced in the “best case scenario” before and after the US elections, combined with the “less than perfect” news on this issue, put pressure on digital assets. We continue to keep the strategic reserve issue in our equation as a positive variable for cryptocurrencies in the long term. On the other hand, we think that there is no new news flow that will create pressure in the medium term, create enthusiasm in the crypto market, and that concerns that global economic activity may slow down in global markets, especially with Trump’s tariffs, will gradually begin to dissipate, and in this parallel, we soften our view that “pressure may continue in the medium term” and align it with our long-term bullish expectation. In the short term, markets will continue to be sensitive to macro indicators and tariff developments.
Per un'analisi dettagliata del nostro rapporto di analisi tecnica bi-giornaliero e degli ultimi sviluppi degli asset digitali clicca qui.
HIGHLIGHTS OF THE DAY
Importanti dati del calendario economico
| Tempo | Notizie | Aspettative | Precedente |
|---|---|---|---|
| Golem (GLM): Partnership Announcement | |||
| Golem (GLM): Technical Documentation | |||
| Livepeer (LPT): Community Discussion Event |
INFORMAZIONI
*Il calendario si basa sul fuso orario UTC (Coordinated Universal Time).
Il contenuto del calendario economico sulla pagina corrispondente è ottenuto da fornitori di notizie e dati affidabili. Le notizie contenute nel calendario economico, la data e l'ora dell'annuncio delle notizie, le possibili variazioni delle cifre precedenti, delle aspettative e delle cifre annunciate sono state realizzate dalle istituzioni fornitrici di dati. Darkex non può essere ritenuta responsabile di eventuali cambiamenti che potrebbero derivare da situazioni simili.
DARKEX RESEARCH DEPARTMENT CURRENT STUDIES
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Trump’s 2025 Tariffs: Global Economic Destruction and Potential Trade Recession Impacts on the US
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Digital Collecting, Regulation and Opensea’s Request
The Digital Asset Fund Revolution: Trump Media’s “Made in America” ETF Move
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Avviso legale
Le informazioni, i commenti e le raccomandazioni sugli investimenti contenuti nel presente documento non costituiscono servizi di consulenza sugli investimenti. I servizi di consulenza sugli investimenti sono forniti da istituti autorizzati su base personale, tenendo conto delle preferenze di rischio e di rendimento dei singoli. I commenti e le raccomandazioni contenuti nel presente documento sono di tipo generale. Tali raccomandazioni potrebbero non essere adatte alla vostra situazione finanziaria e alle vostre preferenze di rischio e rendimento. Pertanto, prendere una decisione di investimento basandosi esclusivamente sulle informazioni contenute nel presente documento potrebbe non portare a risultati in linea con le vostre aspettative.