MARKET COMPASS
Step-by-step tariffs…
- Expectations that President Trump’s new tariffs, which are expected to be announced on April 2, will not be as harsh as feared and will be applied more specifically to selected sectors, provided a basis for the risk appetite, which had been under pressure for a while, to increase at the beginning of the new week.
- With this news flow, we have seen rises in stock market indices, with flat-positive in Europe and rises of more than 1% in Wall Street futures contracts. Digital assets are also affected by the optimistic mood.
- US and Russian delegates are in Riyadh discussing the situation in Ukraine and the Black Sea. President Trump is said to be pushing for a ceasefire. The contacts are expected to continue throughout the day.
- PCE inflation will be closely watched this week for investors looking for clues on whether the US economy is drifting towards a recession and stagflation. US Federal Reserve officials’ speeches, growth and other macro indicators will be under the spotlight. Today’s PMI data will be on our agenda as it may affect the direction of intraday pricing. Also, Paul Atkins and Comptroller of the Currency nominee Jonathan Gould will make a presentation before the Senate Banking Committee on March 27.
- In addition to this title, which contributed to the change in perception in global markets, Bo Hines, Executive Director of the White House Digital Asset Advisory Council, stated that the US could use the income from gold reserves to buy more Bitcoin and played a role in the recent rise.
The expectation that the tariffs will not be imposed as harshly as feared and the news flows in the crypto ecosystem, which will provide some relief from the recent pressure, led to an upward movement in major digital assets on Sunday. We think that this momentum, which continued during Asian and European trading today, may continue given the positive mood of Wall Street futures. US data, tariffs and possible statements on issues related to strategic crypto reserves are the dynamics that may determine the direction of prices.
Compass
We consider it a very important development that a strategic crypto reserve is on the agenda in the US, the locomotive of the world economy. However, the fact that the markets have already priced in the “best case scenario”, combined with the “less than perfect” news on this issue, has been putting pressure on digital assets for some time. We continue to keep the strategic reserve issue in our equation as a positive variable for cryptocurrencies in the long run. On the other hand, we think that we may continue to see pressure in the medium term if there is no new news flow to create enthusiasm in the market and if concerns about slowing economic activity in global markets increase further. We emphasize that there is no problem with a gradual spot asset accumulation strategy, but caution should be exercised in leveraged “long” trades. In the short term (in general), markets will continue to be sensitive to macro indicators and Trump’s actions on tariffs.
HIGHLIGHTS OF THE DAY
Important Economic Calender Data
| Time | News / Event | Expectation | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | Starknet (STRK): V0.13.4 Update | — | |
| — | Enjin Coin (ENJ): Matrixchain Upgrade | — | |
| 13:45 | US Flash Manufacturing PMI (Mar) | 51.9 | 52.7 |
| 13:45 | US Flash Services PMI (Mar) | 51.2 | 51.0 |
| 17:45 | FOMC Member Bostic Speaks | — | |
| 19:10 | FOMC Member Barr Speaks | — | |
INFORMATION
*The calendar is based on UTC (Coordinated Universal Time) time zone.
The economic calendar content on the relevant page is obtained from reliable news and data providers. The news in the economic calendar content, the date and time of the announcement of the news, possible changes in the previous, expectations and announced figures are made by the data provider institutions. Darkex cannot be held responsible for possible changes that may arise from similar situations.
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