Market Compass: Tariffs, JOLTS Data & Crypto Outlook

Market Compass explores macro risks from tariffs and job data, analyzing how they shape BTC and ETH trends. Long-term crypto outlook remains bullish.
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Market Compass

Economic Realities and Tariffs

  • After the optimistic mood on tariffs dissipated with the latest developments, the markets started to evaluate the economic realities a little more. In addition to the statements of the US and Chinese governments accusing each other, it is seen that the time for a permanent agreement is also narrowing after the temporary compromise between the two countries.
  • The Caixin PMI for China, the world’s second largest economy, unexpectedly fell to 48.3 last month. This marked the worst reading since Setembro 2022 and reflected the result of Donald Trump’s tariffs.
  • Asian stock markets were buoyed by expectations of stimulus amid bad data. Europe, on the other hand, is struggling with its own problems today. Wall Street is expected to start the new day slightly lower due to the aforementioned dynamics. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) officials’ statements and JOLTS data will be monitored later in the day.
  • We foresee a sideways trend for major digital assets in the short term. We maintain our upside view for the medium and long term.

For a detailed review of our twice-daily technical analysis report and the latest developments in digital assets click here.

Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS); Shows the number of job openings during the reported month, excluding the agricultural sector. This JOLTS data is closely monitored as job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a large share of overall economic activity. It is released monthly and approximately 35 days after the end of the month. A lower-than-expected release is expected to have a positive impact on cryptocurrencies.

Highlight of the Day

Important Economic Calender Data

Time Notícias Expectation Previous
Money20/20 Europe Event Amsterdam, Netherlands
All in on Bitcoin Amsterdam, Netherlands
14:00 US JOLTS Job Openings (Apr) 7.10K 7.19M
16:45 FOMC Member Goolsbee Speaks
17:00 FOMC Member Cook Speaks
19:30 FOMC Member Logan Speaks

Information

*The calendar is based on UTC (Coordinated Universal Time) time zone.

The economic calendar content on the relevant page is obtained from reliable news and data providers. The news in the economic calendar content, the date and time of the announcement of the news, possible changes in the previous, expectations and announced figures are made by the data provider institutions. Darkex cannot be held responsible for possible changes that may arise from similar situations.

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Aviso legal

As informações, comentários e recomendações sobre investimentos contidos neste documento não constituem serviços de consultoria de investimentos. Os serviços de consultoria de investimento são prestados por instituições autorizadas em caráter pessoal, levando em conta as preferências de risco e retorno dos indivíduos. Os comentários e recomendações contidos neste documento são de caráter geral. Essas recomendações podem não ser adequadas à sua situação financeira e às suas preferências de risco e retorno. Portanto, tomar uma decisão de investimento com base apenas nas informações contidas neste documento pode não resultar em resultados que estejam de acordo com suas expectativas.

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