Weekly Bitcoin Onchain Report – Março 20

Capa da Análise Onchain

Active Adresses

Bitcoin-Active-Addresses

Active Sending Addresses

Bitcoin-Active-Sending-Addresses

 

 

In terms of active addresses, there were 1,093,362 active entries to the BTC network between Março 12 and Março 19, 2025 this week. During this period, Bitcoin rose from $82,000 to $84,000. In the region marked on the chart, where the price and the number of active addresses intersect, we see that Bitcoin purchases have changed direction. When we follow the 7-day simple moving average, we observe that the price followed an upward trend on the dates when this average also crossed the price. This situation indicates that the Bitcoin price is experiencing entries at $ 82,000 levels.

 

 

 Active Receiving Addresses

Bitcoin-Active-Receiving-Addresses

 

 

With the Black Line (price line) in active shipping addresses, there has been a significant drop in active shipping addresses after Março 13. On the day when the price hit its lowest point, active sending addresses rose as high as 853,483   , indicating that buyers sold their positions as Bitcoin stayed around the $81,000 level for a while. As a result, price drops seem to cause an acceleration in sending addresses.

 

 

Breakdowns

MRVR

Bitcoin-MVRV-Ratio

 

 

On Março 12, the Bitcoin price was 83,671 while the MVRV Ratio was 1.92. As of Março 18, the Bitcoin price was at 82,785, while the MVRV Ratio was at 1.89. Compared to last week, Bitcoin price decreased by 1.06% and MVRV Ratio decreased by 1.56%.

 

 

 

 

 Realized Price

Bitcoin-Realized-Price

 

 

On Março 12, Bitcoin price was 83,671 while Realized Price was 43,545. As of Março 18, Bitcoin price was down to 82,785 while Realized Price was up to 43,576. Compared to last week, Bitcoin price decreased by 1.06% while Realized Price increased by 0.071%

 

 

 

 Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR)

Bitcoin-Spent-Output-Profit-Ratio-(SOPR)

 

 

On Março 12, the Bitcoin price was at 83,671, while the S

OPR metric was at 1. As of Março 18, the Bitcoin price was down to 82,785 while the SOPR metric was stable at 1. Compared to last week, the Bitcoin price decreased by 1.06%, while the SOPR metric remained stable at the same level.

 

 

Derivatives

Open Interest

BTC-OI

 

Looking at the data, open interest exhibits a fluctuating movement starting from 25.50 billion dollars. With a strong recovery, it rises above $27 billion. This also shows that some positions were closed in the short term but then re-entered the market. Around Março 16, open interest declines again and then flattens out. The relationship between price and open interest is also remarkable. The fact that the price moves in parallel with the rise in open interest suggests that new liquidity is entering the market. On the other hand, the upward movement of the price at some points while open interest declines may indicate that leveraged positions are being liquidated or spot purchases are coming into play. The fact that open interest has moved sideways in recent days suggests that there is no clear directional preference in the market and investors are waiting.

 

 Funding Rate

BTC-Funding-Rate

Over the last few days, funding rates have been generally positive. On Março 13, there was a sudden drop, followed by a rebound in funding rates, reaching a peak on Março 14. On Março 16 , there was a decline, but funding rates recovered from this level and rose again on Março 17. The rise in funding rates indicates that leveraged long positions have become dominant in the market. This activity may suggest that investors have high expectations that the price will move upwards. However, persistently high funding ratios may also indicate that the market has become overleveraged and potential liquidation risks have increased. As of Março 19, funding ratios remained positive, indicating that the market is still long weighted.

Long & Short Liquidations

BTC, which moved sideways in a narrow range last week, rose as high as $84,000. With this price activity, long and short liquidations remained at low levels compared to previous weeks. 315 million dollars of long positions and 209 million dollars of short positions were liquidated.

Date Long Amount (Million $) Short Amount (Million $)
Março 12 74.98 52.82
Março 13 56.24 25.49
Março 14 23.45 50.10
Março 15 4.11 3.52
Março 16 76.56 26.04
Março 17 15.52 37.34
Março 18 64.80 13.97
Total 315.66 209.28

Supply Distribution

BTCSupply

Total Supply: It reached 19,838,711 units, up about 0.01596% from last week.

New Supply: The amount of BTC produced this week was 3,165.

Velocity: Velocity, which was 13.74 last week, was 13.54 as of Março 18.

Wallet Category 11.03.2025 18.03.2025 Change (%)
< 1 BTC 8.5343% 8.5373% 0.035%
1 – 10 BTC 11.759% 11.77% 0.094%
10 – 100 BTC 24.844% 24.837% -0.028%
100 – 1k BTC 28.17% 28.064% -0.0376%
1k – 10k BTC 18.258% 18.417% 0.0871%
10k+ BTC 8.431% 8.373% -0.688%

When we look at the wallet distribution of the current supply, it is seen that there is an increase of 0.035% in the “< 1 BTC” category, where small investors are located. In the 1 – 10 BTC range, an increase of 0.094% is observed. While there was a slight decrease of 0.028% in the 10 – 100 BTC segment, it can be said that investors in this group remained largely stable. The 100 – 1K BTC category experienced a decrease of 0.376%, indicating that some of the mid-large investors reduced their holdings. 1K – 10K BTC holders saw an increase of 0.871%, while the 10K+ BTC category saw a decrease of 0.688%. This suggests that some of the large-scale investors changed their allocation, but there was no major movement overall

 Exchange Reserve

Bitcoin-Exchange-Reserve - All-Exchanges

Between Março 12-18, 2025, Bitcoin reserves on exchanges increased from 2,467,754 BTC to 2,469,507 BTC. During this period, there was a total net inflow of 1,753 BTC and the Bitcoin reserves of exchanges increased by 0.07%. The Bitcoin price decreased by approximately 1.06% during this period. On Março 12, 2025, Bitcoin closed at $83,672, and on Março 18, 2025, it closed at $82,786. Net inflows to the stock markets suggest that investors may be inclined to sell. This could put a slight selling pressure on the price. (Decline)

Date 12-Mar 13-Mar 14-Mar 15-Mar 16-Mar 17-Mar 18-Mar
Exchange Inflow 33,034 51,191 31,787 8,578 8,530 22,961 24,567
Exchange Outflow 33,772 48,186 32,163 10,286 8,025 22,738 24,463
Exchange Netflow -737 3,005 -376 -1,708 505 223 103
Exchange Reserve 2,467,754 2,470,760 2,470,384 2,468,675 2,469,180 2,469,403 2,469,507
BTC Price 83,672 81,140 84,044 84,401 82,570 84,200 82,786

Fees and Revenues

BTC-Fees-(Mean)

When the data of Bitcoin Fees per Transaction (Mean) between Março 12 and 18 is analyzed, it is seen that this value was at the level of 0.00001211 on Março 12, the first day of the week. On Março 13, Bitcoin Fees per Transaction (Mean) value, which saw some retracement, increased the next day with the volatility seen in Bitcoin price and reached 0.00001241 on Março 14. With this value, it reached the highest level of the weekly period. The value, which moved in correlation with the Bitcoin price in the following days, was recorded as the lowest value of the week with the level of 0.00000875 on Março 16.

However, on Março 18, the last day of the weekly period, the value increased again to close at 0.00001221.

BTC-Fees-(Total)

Similarly, when the data of Bitcoin Fees (Total) between Março 12 and 18 is analyzed, it is seen that this value was at the level of 5.19284074 on Março 12, the first day of the week. Until Março 13, the value increased, reaching 5.55966839 on this date. After this date, Bitcoin Fees (Total) decreased and fell to 4.12027733 on Março 16. With this value, it recorded the lowest level of the weekly period.

However, on Março 18, the last day of the weekly period, the value closed at 4.

 Miner Flows

Bitcoin-Miner-Reserve

As can be seen in the Miner Reserve table, the number of Bitcoins in miners’ wallets decreased this week. Miner Reserve and Bitcoin price have been negatively correlated throughout this week.

Miner Inflow, Outflow and Netflow

Between Março 12-18, 36,089 Bitcoins exited miners’ wallets and 36,061 Bitcoins entered miners’ wallets between the same dates. The Miner Netflow for this week was -28 Bitcoin. Meanwhile, the Bitcoin price was $83,671 on Março 12 and $82,785 on Março 18.

For the week, the net flow (Miner Netflow) was negative as Bitcoin inflow into miner wallets (Miner Inflow) was less than Bitcoin outflow from miner wallets (Miner Outflow).

Março 12 Março 13 Março 14 Março 15 Março 16 Março 17 Março 18
Miner Inflow 6,130.43 6,956.54 5,964.27 2,978.00 2,846.47 5,088.05 6,097.74
Miner Outflow 5,960.86 6,944.14 6,076.88 3,178.43 2,794.25 5,202.57 5,932.02
Miner Netflow 169.58 12.40 -112.62 -200.43 52.22 -114.52 165.72

 Transaction

Bitcoin-Transaction-Count-(Total)

Last week, there were 2,407,874 transactions on the Bitcoin network, up 28.5% to 3,093,915 transactions this week. The 532,479 transactions recorded on Março 13 was the highest trading volume of the week, while the lowest number of transactions was 369,095 on Março 18.

The “number of transactions – price” relationship, which is usually positively correlated, was positively correlated on Março 15-16, but continued to show an inverse correlation for the rest of the week, as in the previous week. Although the remarkable increase in the number of transactions is open to positive interpretation, the fact that inverse correlations are seen more frequently, especially in downtrends, is a reminder that the negative trend may continue.

Tokens Transferred

While 4,792,242 BTC was transferred last week, it decreased by 19.1% to 3,878,263 BTC this week. On Março 12, 728,429 BTC were transferred, the highest token volume of the week, while Março 15 saw the lowest transfer volume of 404,491 BTC. As it is the weekend, this is considered normal and it can be said that the role of institutions this week is less than in previous weeks.

Despite a significant increase in the number of transactions this week compared to the previous week, the amount of Bitcoin transferred decreased significantly, indicating a massive decrease in the amount of BTC per transaction. This indicates that small-scale transfers continue to increase, while large transfers for sale are decreasing. Assuming that the profit realizations of large investors are close to completion, but that small investors cannot back the products alone at these prices, the possibility of seeing horizontal movements for a while is strengthening.

Whale Activities

Whale

Whales Data

According to the data that has attracted attention in the cryptocurrency market in the last 7 days, whale activities on the central stock exchange are balanced at the beginning of the process, but the use of the central stock exchange has increased according to the end of the process. When we look at the Exchange Whale Ratio metric, it showed that the whales used the central exchanges balanced at the beginning of the 7-day process and the value was measured as 0.353. This measurement reached 0.459 in the middle of the process, showing that whales started to use the central exchange more than at the beginning of the process. At the time of writing, the value is 0.554, indicating that whales are using the centralized exchange even more than in the middle of the process. When this ratio is above 0.350, it usually means that whales use centralized exchanges frequently. At the same time, the total BTC transfer saw 3,878,263 BTC moved, a decrease of about 19% compared to last week. In conclusion, the fact that whales are starting to use centralized exchanges more, as well as the fact that the amount of transfers is trending downward, means that the market could point to very slight declines, but the presence of whales saving could stabilize the market

BTC Onchain Overall

Metric Rise 📈 Decline 📉 Neutral ➖
Active Addresses
Breakdowns
Derivatives
Supply Distribution
Exchange Reserve
Fees and Revenues
Miner Flows
Transaction
Whale Activities

 AVISO LEGAL

As informações, comentários e recomendações sobre investimentos contidos neste documento não constituem serviços de consultoria de investimentos. Os serviços de consultoria de investimento são prestados por instituições autorizadas em caráter pessoal, levando em conta as preferências de risco e retorno dos indivíduos. Os comentários e recomendações contidos neste documento são de caráter geral. Essas recomendações podem não ser adequadas à sua situação financeira e às suas preferências de risco e retorno. Portanto, tomar uma decisão de investimento com base apenas nas informações contidas neste documento pode não resultar em resultados que estejam de acordo com suas expectativas.

 

NOTE: All data used in Bitcoin onchain analysis is based on Cryptoqaunt.

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