Teknik Analiz
BTC/USDT
U.S. President Donald Trump signed an executive order blocking federal regulators from targeting financial institutions working with the cryptocurrency sector. The order invalidates the use of “reputational risk” as a justification for increased regulation. The Smarter Web Company, based in the UK, purchased an additional 50 BTC, increasing its total Bitcoin holdings to 2,100. A total of $281 million in net inflows were recorded in Bitcoin spot ETFs, with the largest single-day inflow of $157 million occurring in the BlackRock IBIT ETF.
Looking at the technical picture, BTC continued its upward movement compared to the previous analysis, testing the 117,600 level amid recent developments. The price, which returned to the horizontal band range where it had previously consolidated, was trading at 116,600 at the time of writing.
Technical indicators show that the Wave Trend oscillator (WT) is entering the overbought zone, potentially signaling a trend reversal. However, the Squeeze Momentum (SM) indicator is gaining momentum in the positive zone. The Kaufman moving average is currently moving below the price at the 116,000 level.
Looking at liquidity data, it was observed that sell-side transactions opened in the 116,000–117,000 band were liquidated. In the broader time frame, sell-side positions remain concentrated above the 120,000 level. Short-term buy-side transactions have accumulated in stages at the 115,200, 114,000, 113,100, and 111,800 levels.
In summary, recent developments on the fundamental front, coupled with statements from the Trump administration, have led to an increase in risk appetite, resulting in the recovery of losses incurred by BTC at the beginning of the month. The technical structure is moving upward in line with the favorable groundwork laid earlier and may be preparing for a trend reversal after reaching a saturation point. In terms of liquidity data, buy-side transactions have gained momentum, and areas where accumulation occurred during price pullbacks will be monitored as support levels. In the coming period, we will monitor daily closes above the 115,000 level to assess whether the parameters we have redefined for an upward trend are balanced, particularly in terms of liquidity and technical indicators. If not, a price correction and testing of the identified liquidity zones are expected.
Support levels: 115,700 – 115,000 – 114,000
Resistance levels: 117,400 – 118,600 – 119,200
ETH/USDT
Yesterday, US President Donald Trump signed two executive orders that represent a significant policy shift for financial markets and the crypto asset ecosystem. The first order makes it easier for private assets to be included in 401(k) retirement funds, allowing individual investors to diversify their portfolios. The second executive order aims to remove regulations that restrict cryptocurrency companies from working with banks, thereby providing the sector with direct operational and liquidity advantages. These developments created a strong positive catalyst effect on market psychology, causing the price of ETH to quickly rise above the $3,900 level.
When on-chain data is examined in detail, it can be seen that there has been a synchronized increase in Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) indicators in both spot and futures markets. While this trend in CVDs suggests that the movement is grounded in healthy demand, the simultaneous sharp rise in funding rates and open interest indicates a rapid increase in leveraged long positions in the market, which in turn heightens the risk of a short-term correction. In particular, the acceleration in open interest suggests that part of the current rise may stem from speculative positions, increasing the likelihood of liquidation waves being triggered.
On the technical indicators side, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) moved into the overbought zone alongside strong price movement and reached saturation here, entering a slight pullback trend. This outlook serves as a technical warning that could weaken momentum and exert short-term pressure on prices. However, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator maintaining its upward trend in the positive zone confirms that net capital inflows into the markets are continuing and buyers remain in a strong position.
When examining the Ichimoku indicator, the price regaining the kumo cloud level and the cloud turning green and expanding upward is an important signal that reinforces the positive structure of the market’s medium-term technical outlook. This structure supports the view that the price is still trending upward in the main trend and that pullbacks are likely to remain corrective for now.
In general, due to signs of overheating in on-chain data and saturation levels in the RSI, slight correction movements may be expected during the day in the short term. In this scenario, the tenkan line at the $3,806 level can be monitored as the first intermediate support, and the $3,722 level as the main support. Any rebound from these levels could lay the groundwork for the upward trend to continue in a healthy manner. On the other hand, a break above the $4.084 level with high volume could increase market participants’ risk appetite, triggering a more rapid and broader upward wave. In such a scenario, if liquidity flows and open position increases continue, the possibility of targets above $4.381 coming into focus would strengthen.
Formun Üstü
Formun Altında
Destek seviyeleri: 3,722 - 3,646 - 3,480
Direnç seviyeleri: 4,084 - 4,381 - 4,857
XRP/USDT
The legal proceedings between the SEC and Ripple, which have been ongoing for approximately five years, officially came to an end with the acceptance of the parties’ joint motion to dismiss, creating an important turning point in the market. This development significantly increased investor confidence, both in terms of the removal of uncertainty and the reduction of regulatory risk perception for XRP. The strong positive catalyst effect created by the news flow enabled XRP to break through the critical resistance level of $3.09 with high trading volume, and the price quickly surged to $3.38. Following profit-taking, the price has stabilized around the $3.30 support zone.
Technical indicators are generally maintaining their positive trend. The Ichimoku indicator shows that the price has broken above the kumo cloud and that the cloud color has turned green and started to expand, confirming that the market has returned to a positive trend in terms of its medium-term technical outlook. This structure increases the likelihood that the price will remain upward despite short-term pullbacks.
The sharp upward momentum in the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator shows that market participants’ appetite for buying is strengthening and liquidity inflows are intensifying. This reveals that the upward movement is not only price-driven but also supported by strong capital inflows.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator rose to the overbought zone due to the upward momentum, then began to show a slight pullback. This indicates that, from a short-term technical perspective, the price may need to take a breather, suggesting that minor corrective movements could come into play. However, as the RSI remains in high territory, it can be said that buyers continue to maintain overall dominance.
From the perspective of intraday price movements, maintaining the $3.30 level is critical. If this support level is broken, there is a possibility of a pullback to the tenkan line at $3.17. On the other hand, if the price remains above the 3.30 dollar level, it could enter a short-term horizontal consolidation phase, laying the groundwork for a new upward wave. Additionally, a significant break above the 3.38 dollar level could pave the way for targets of 3.65 dollars and above.
Supports: 3.3058 – 3.0927 – 2.9967
Resistances: 3.6554 – 4.0055 – 4.4022
SOL/USDT
The SOL price has been on an upward trend. The asset has remained above the upward trend line that began on Ağustos 2. The price, which has broken through the strong resistance level of $171.82, could test the $181.75 level if the upward trend continues. In the opposite case, the upward trend could act as support.
On the 4-hour chart, the 50 EMA (Blue Line) remains below the 200 EMA (Black Line). This indicates that the downward trend could continue in the medium term. At the same time, the price being above both moving averages shows that the market is currently in an upward trend. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF-20) is at a positive level. However, a decrease in money inflows could push the CMF into the negative zone. The Relative Strength Index (RSI-14) has continued to remain above the upward trend that began on Ağustos 2. This indicates that there may be buying pressure. In the event of an upward movement due to macroeconomic data or positive news related to the Solana ecosystem, the $181.75 level emerges as a strong resistance point. If this level is broken to the upside, the upward movement is expected to continue. In the event of developments in the opposite direction or profit-taking due to , pullbacks could test the 163.80 dollar level. A decline to these support levels could see an increase in buying momentum, presenting a potential opportunity for an upward move.
Destek seviyeleri: 171,82 - 163,80 - 150,67
Direnç seviyeleri: 181,75 - 189,54 - 200,00
DOGE/USDT
The DOGE price continued its upward trend. The asset remained above the upward trend that began on Ağustos 2 and continued its upward movement. At the same time, the price broke above the 50 EMA (Blue Line) and 200 EMA (Black Line) moving averages and also broke through the strong resistance level of $0.21154. If the upward trend continues, the strong resistance level at 0.22632 dollars should be monitored.
On the 4-hour chart, the 50 EMA (Blue Line) remained below the 200 EMA (Black Line). This indicates that the asset is in a downward trend in the medium term. A move above both moving averages would signal a short-term upward trend for the asset. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF-20) has crossed into positive territory. Additionally, negative cash inflows could push the CMF into negative territory. The Relative Strength Index (RSI-14) remains in positive territory. At the same time, the indicator above the upward trend that began on Ağustos 2 indicates that buying pressure continues. However, its position in the overbought zone could trigger profit-taking. In the event of upward movements driven by political developments, macroeconomic data, or positive news flow within the DOGE ecosystem, the $0.22632 level emerges as a strong resistance zone. In the opposite scenario or in the event of negative news flow, the 0.21154-dollar level could be triggered. A decline to these levels could increase momentum and potentially initiate a new upward wave.
Destek seviyeleri: 0,21154 - 0,19909 - 0,18566
Resistances: 0.22632 – 0.25025 – 0.28164
Yasal Uyarı
Burada yer alan yatırım bilgi, yorum ve tavsiyeleri yatırım danışmanlığı kapsamında değildir. Yatırım danışmanlığı hizmetleri, kişilerin risk ve getiri tercihleri dikkate alınarak yetkili kuruluşlar tarafından bireysel olarak verilmektedir. Burada yer alan yorum ve tavsiyeler genel niteliktedir. Bu tavsiyeler mali durumunuz ile risk ve getiri tercihlerinize uygun olmayabilir. Bu nedenle, sadece burada yer alan bilgilere dayanarak yatırım kararı vermeniz beklentileriniz doğrultusunda sonuç vermeyebilir.
